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Powerful Coverage of Thoroughbreds Racing at the major Southern California tracks Santa Anita and Del Mar.
Using data provided by our 2 Private Clockers, Trip Notes provided by well-known handicapper Aaron Hesz, as well as our powerful performance ratings derived from our custom variants, we provide a set of horse racing handicapping information that is both unique and reliable.
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Horse Racing Handicapping For Thoroughbreds
On Sun Nov 11, the last race was won by GYPSY BLU with 2 nice recent workouts since changing trainers, a Grade B- "looks decent for her new trainer" and a Grade B "has changed barns recently and went for new trainer Koriner, nice work". She paid a sweet $63.60 to win. She worked with SPICED PERFECTION in that B- work, who also received a Grade B- and won the 8th race stakes paying $10.60. The double paid $373.60.
On the Friday Nov 2 card at SA, we gave out pushes on each of the Pick 6 races that could have produced a $54,328 payoff. The 5th race clocker report had 2 Grade B- works on QUINNIE with the comment on the last one "is not a good workhorse, but actually didn't look too bad". She paid $7.80. The 6th race had a Grade B- work on ALL TEA ALL SHADE who paid $29.00 as an alternative to DIOSA, who had the highest Performance Rating by far and a 5 length lead into the stretch before succumbing (the reason I lost the Pick 6). The 7th was won by KENCUMIN @ $12.00 who had some speed at the meet long speed favoring distance of a mile on turf and had a recent Grade B workout. The 8th was won by our standout high Performance Rating horse by 5 points GIVE ME A HINT. Her 95 was high by 5 points over the horse who finished 2nd MUCHO UNUSUAL. She paid $13.20 to win. The winner of the 9th race was DOWNSIDE UP who had the highest non Los Al rating dirt rating and paid $15.80. In the last race, the first time starter DROP THE MIC closed from dead last to nail the favorite on the line to pay $28.40 with a recent Grade B- workout with the comment "a vastly improved work for her new trainer." The type of work we all look for as a differentiator in our racing game.
If you don't think the $.20 pick 6 is the best bet in racing, you need to do look at it closer. If the $.20 Jackpot Pick 6 is not hit on Saturday at SA, where there is a guarantee of $2M to a single ticket, there will be a carryover Pick 6 on Sunday of probably something in excess of $10M that must be given out.
On Friday Oct 26, we had a nice warm up for the weekend with 2 great prices from our Daily Clockers Report. In the 3rd race TAKE A LEAP had 5 Grade B nice works since her last race at Del Mar and stuck it to straight maidens with Tyler Baze, who had been working her, pulling away to an easy victory paying $16.80. In the 6th race, ACCLIMATE had a recent Grade B team drill in which he was "quite nice...appears improved". He pulled out and around horses entering the stretch and hung on for the win at a juicy $33.80 mutuel payoff. These two winners helped key a $14,036 $.20 pick 6. Hope you had it!
On Sun Oct 14, the HR reports combined to produce some nice results. In the 1st race, the winner DON'T STALK ME had a very nice recent half-mile Grade B workout in which he "finished great...final furlong in a really good 11.3, never asked...appears set for a top effort". He paid $6.00 to win, and combined with the 2nd race HR winner CYCLOMETRIC for a sweet double. CYCLO' had a much improved recent Grade B work in which he "went much better than we have seen previously, never asked...good work for the homebred, who may be coming around". He did indeed improve to win @ $26.60 with the double paying $81.00.
In the 9th race, the winner AFLEET ASCENT had a super recent Grade B+ team work with Battle of Midway in which they were "extra sharp, neither asked a drop while full of run late...excellent work, primed for top efforts". 'ASCENT won a very tough nose bob to pay $6.00. Losing the bob at 17-1 was our Horse to Watch LITTLE JUANITO, who also had worked very well recently with 2 Grade B efforts. He paid $13.60 to place with the exacta coming back $43.70. Obviously a much better result had the exacta been reversed.
We pushed a monster Horses to Watch winner on Friday Aug 31 to kick off the final weekend at Del Mar. SUENO in the 3rd Race was listed because of a much troubled trip on Aug 15. The trip notes read: "Was shuffled back at the break, recovered to race at the back of the pack along the inside, bulled his way through down the backstretch, scraped paint into the stretch, angled out, laid in, green as grass; still a promising debut". I guess so, as he still was pretty green circling the field into the stretch and switching his leads, winning off by over 4 lengths to pay $50.40.
Opening week at Del Mar was filled with 10 winners from our Horses to Watch and Fit and Ready lists. There were 5 horses from each list getting their pictures taken from Opening Day through the first Sunday, including the double lister CATAPULT who flew late to capture the featured Eddie Read Stakes on Sunday paying a monstrous $44.00.
Although he was the super price, there were others during the week. On Saturday in Race 7, TAMMY'S WINDOW with a Grade B workout at DM won and paid $23.80.
On Opening Day in Race 3 EIGHTY THREE with a Grade B work won and paid $10.60 and we almost had 2 other monsters on the day as HOTITUDE in Race 3 with a Grade B drill had the lead and got run down to finish 2nd @ 23-1 and DEL MAR MAY in the 7th with 2 Grade B works also turned for home with the lead and got run down by the Hollendorfer future star BRILL @ 25-1. The exactas on both horses paid well, but oh what they could have been. It was a great first week at DM with several other winners along the way. It sure is great to be back at Old Del Mar.
The HR Daily Clocker Report for Closing Day at Santa Anita featured 8 Grade B or B- pushes on the winners of races 3 through 10, including STORM THE HILL in the 9th @ $21.00 and DESERT LAW in the 10th paying $9.60. All you needed was UNAPOLOGETIC in the 11th, who had only maintenance type works recently but one of the 3 top last race Performance Ratings from HR, to cash the Pick 6 paying over $20,000.
Late News: Nice lead in to the final weekend of Santa Anita for our Daily Clocker Report. In the 4th race today Friday Jun 22, the 2 yo first time starter CAROTARI with a Grade B work from HR "a nice work for the unraced two-year-old son of Artie Schiller, who appears to have ability", blew away his field paying $19.60.
Del Mar Subscriptions for the Summer Meet starting on Wed July 18 are now available in your User Accounts under the Subscriptions tab. We will have our regular array of Daily and Weekly Reports available, with the Clocker Reports featuring modified content that emphasizes quality over quantity by eliminating many of the irrelevant workouts that do not give the handicapper information that is useful for selecting a horse to bet on or to bet against. Our intent is to present significant information that may indicate changes about a horse's future performance rather than piles of data to be sorted through to find the nuggets for the handicapping process.
As usual we will not be covering the Los Alamitos meeting.
Nice start for the week of racing at Santa Anita on Thu May 17 . Our Daily Clocker Report had the first time starter SIX PACK GAL in the 3rd with a decent Grade B- work from the gate. She won easily paying $6.00. The prices began in the 5th when the late Pick 4 kicked off with a strong win from MOVE OVER (GB), who had 2 Grade B- works prior to his last race. He broke through the gate before the start and ran an 1/8 of a mile before being pulled up and re-gated, yet finished with a flourish to just get up by a nose and pay $7.20. The 6th race was one by an HR Grade B worker MOJGAN who had a recent Grade B work with the comment: "went extremely easy in this good half-mile move, final 1/4 in 24.3, absolutely breezing to the wire, nice work." She paid a generous $29.00. The 7th race produced another great price as TIME AND CHANCE, with a recent Grade B work with a final 1/4 in 23.2, gutted out the win paying $15.60. The double paid $122.00 and set up the 8th race for our Horse to Watch NAVAJO DREAMER (IRE) to win @ $9.40 and key the last Pick 3 paying $620.40 and the late Pick 4 to pay $900.70.
The HR Horses to Watch list is coming off a monster day at SA on Sun Apr 1. There were Horses to Watch running in 3 races on that day, all of which won at great prices. In the 1st race ANATOLIAN HEAT came out of a very wide trip in his last race to take advantage of a speed duel, getting up close to home to pay $13.80. In the late double, the recent claim IKE WALKER, who had just missed in his last race after bobbling badly at the break, had an extremely wide trip in the 8th race, but persevered at the wire to win his 11th career race and pay an overlaid $9.00. To complete the HR double in the 9th, HTW POINT GUARD came from the 11 post to rally between horses and hold off the others at the wire to pay $23.80 with the late double paying $157.80 for $2.
Nice start to the week at Santa Anita on Thu Feb 15 for the HR Daily Clocker Report. Arguably the best HR workers in each race from the 4th through the 8th won with the late Pick 5 paying $2,687.25. The Pick 4 paid $696.70, and if you used the favorite in the 3rd race in your Pick 6 with the HR horses in the remainder, you cashed for $128,292.
The HR winners for the day actually began in the 2nd with DEL MAR DIVA, who had 2 recent good Grade B- works. She paid $6 with the price affected by one of the favorites being declared a non-starter. The true fun began in the 4th with the winner BEDEVILED, who had 2 recent Grade B- works, edging out the competition paying $9.00. In the 5th SILVERSPUN PICKUP utilized her recent 2 Grade B- works to promote her to victory at $7.60. In the 6th race comebacker DALMORE with 2 recent Grade B works, one with a final 1/4 in 23.2 buried his opponents, drawing off by 8 lengths to pay $11.80. The favorite COLONIST with 2 recent Grade B workouts won the 7th as expected paying $6.00. The star of the HR show was first time starter SURFING STAR who had been working forever, but quite well for Bruce Headley, with a Grade B and 2 Grade B- works going into the debut. He ran like a professional, sitting just off the speed and accelerating into the stretch to draw off and pay $28.00.
The opening week of the Santa Anita Meet produced a number of nice winners for the HR reports. On opening day we had 2 Horses to Watch winners and 3 Fit and Ready winners, with SPANISH HOMBRE a dual winner from both lists @ $7.00. RED LIGHTNING from the F&R list won the 5th race in wire to wire fashion with ease paying $17.00. UNIQUE BELLA snapped back from her poor race on the biased DM Breeders Cup track with a nice win as a F&R lister @ $4.60 in the 7th, followed in the 8th race by CITY OF LIGHT, a Grade B+ working Horses to Watch lister, who broke a bit slowly, rushed up to grab the lead and hold on for a nice $17.00 win. Other good working winners included GIANT EXPECTATIONS with 2 Grade B drills wiring the field in the 3rd race paying $29.00 and CALIFORNIAGOLDRUSH in the 4th with a nice Grade B work breaking her maiden in the 4th with a nice rally paying $56.80. Great start to the meet for HR.
On the next racing day, Fri Dec 29, we continued the parade of Horses to Watch winners with MESUT in the 3rd race. He also had 2 Grade B- works in which he "finished up well". In the race, he powered home to win paying $17.40. This was our 3rd $17.00 horse of the meet from our lists. On Sat Dec 30 we kicked the card off with 2 Horses to Watch in the first two races. PROUD HEROINE in the 1st @ $7.20 was followed by PEACE in the 2nd @ $3.40 for an opening double of $13.80. Not too exciting, so we looked for a longer shot in the graded stakes race in the 4th and came up with MIDNIGHT CROSSING (IRE) with 2 recent Grade B works including a sharp final furlong in 11.4 in one of the drills and a final 1/4 in 23.3 in the other one. She paid $47.60 to win. In the 8th we pushed SILENT BIRD with 2 recent Grade B works. She won and paid $8.20. On Sun Dec 31 we closed out the year with a Horses to Watch exacta in the 1st race. FLY TO MARS got to the front and held off SECRETO PRIMERO to provide the HR HTW exacta of $18.10.
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